It’s hard to see where the Cowboys got better. Without him, they’ve barely been average. With Smith, the Cowboys were a top offense. The Cowboys plummeted from 4.8 to 4.2 yards per carry without Smith last season and 0.13 to 0.03 EPA on passing plays. Dallas already lost two starters in the offseason, but losing LT Tyron Smith to injury could be a fatal blow. The big concern is the once-great offensive line. The Cowboys are average or better at every position group offensively and, really, up and down the roster other than the D-line. Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott and CeeDee Lamb lead the offense, while Micah Parsons and Trevon Diggs headline the defense. The Cowboys remain the most public team in football, and this line is a gift.ĭallas certainly has plenty of talent. I project only 8.2 wins, so I happily went under 9.5 at the best available odds, even if I'm admittedly a bit scared to go against Mike Vrabel, who has consistently exceeded preseason expectations. Plus, in a loaded AFC, the South as a whole improved while the Titans took a step back in my opinion. Six wins by a field goal or less! Sometimes, it's just your year, but regression certainly looms in Nashville in 2022. Week 18: With the top seed in the AFC on the line, Tennessee secured another three-point win over the Texans to close the regular season in a statistically even game. Jimmy Garoppolo turnovers and untimely, uncharacteristic Trent Williams penalties proved to be the difference. Week 16: The 49ers outgained the Titans 389-278 (6.7-4.8!) in a three-point loss.
The Saints failed to convert the game-tying two-point conversion attempt in the final seconds. Week 10: The Saints outgained the Titans 373-264 (6.1-4.6) in a two-point loss with Trevor Siemian starting at QB for New Orleans. Two gifts from Matthew Stafford led to 14 points on two total offensive yards. Week 9: Tennessee notched an impressive win over the eventual Super Bowl-champion Rams 28-16, despite being outgained in yardage 347-194 (4.7-3.5 yards per play). Week 8: How about another three-point win in overtime after trailing in the fourth? This time, Indianapolis took the L. Week 6: Came back in the fourth again to win by three - this time against the Bills, who turned it over on downs in the final seconds when Josh Allen slipped on a QB sneak inside Tennessee’s five-yard line in the final seconds. Week 2: Down 14 in the fourth quarter at Seattle, the Titans rallied to tie the game before eventually winning by three in overtime. Here's a sample of that unsustainable good fortune … The Titans got extremely lucky in close contests - 6-2 in one-possession games - and also benefited from turnover timing in a number of other victories. However, this was closer to a nine- or 10-win team based on their statistical profile (10.2 Pythagorean wins, for reference.) Now, to be fair, Tennessee did win 12 games last year even with a number of key injuries on offense. The defense should be solid, but isn't spectacular enough to carry the squad. Derrick Henry returns from injury, but there are a lot of miles on that truck even though he'll certainly get his. That's going to leave a massive hole on an offense with questions along the offensive line and wide receiver. I didn't love the offseason for the Titans, who traded away star wide receiver A.J. I project Arizona to be favored in only seven games this year.Īnyone care to join me in betting the under on the only team that has gone over in each of the past five seasons? This year, I think we see them more closely resemble the squad that closed the season 4-6 (including 2-6 with Murray, who won’t have DeAndre Hopkins for the first six games this year due to a PED suspension). Last year, we saw the upside the Cardinals possess when they jumped out to a 7-0 start. and Antonio Hamilton, and neither of them - nor anyone else on the roster at the position - earned an above-average PFF grade last season. Their top three corners are Marco Wilson, Byron Murphy Jr.
Watt is 33 and has missed at least half the season in four of the last six years. They lost one of the best pass rushers in the game in Chandler Jones. But this is an extremely fragile team with a ton of downside. The Cardinals always look sexy on paper because Kyler Murray is a flat-out baller, controversial contract clauses be damned. Their road schedule is no walk in the park either, with games against the Broncos, Vikings and Raiders, in addition to the Rams and 49ers.
Caesars nfl win totals 2022 plus#
The Cards could fall well short of that, as they have to play the Chiefs, Bucs, Rams, Chargers, Eagles, Patriots and Saints at home, plus the 49ers in Mexico City (which counts as a home game). Teams that finish with a winning record typically have to win at least half of their home games, if not more. Koerner's Guide To Betting All 32 NFL Win Totals Read now Chris Raybon: Cardinals Under 8.5
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